Indian IT services firms like TCS, Infosys and HCL Technologies are already feeling the heat of cross-currency fluctuations.
A strong dollar is expected to pull global IT spending down by 1.3 per cent to USD 3.6 trillion this year, research firm Gartner today said.
"We forecast US-dollar-valued worldwide IT spending in 2015 to shrink by 1.3 percent, down from 2.4 percent growth forecast in last quarter's update," Gartner Research Vice President John-David Lovelock said. Indian IT services firms like TCS , Infosys and HCL Technologies are already feeling the heat of cross-currency fluctuations.
HCL has already warned of a dip in its March quarter dollar earnings on account of the fluctuation. Lovelock, however, added that "this is not a crash, even if it looks like one". "The recent rapid rise in the value of the US dollar against most currencies has put a currency shock into the global IT market," he said.
Talking out the impact of exchange rate movements, the corresponding constant-currency growth figure is 3.1 percent, only off 0.6 percent from last quarter's update. "However, this illusion masks a bigger issue that has real implications. Every product or service that has a US dollar-based component must have those costs covered at the lower exchange rate.
The simple implication is that there will be price rises," Lovelock said. IT services spending is forecast to contract slightly to USD 942 billion in 2015, down from USD 948 billion in 2014. The US dollar spending on devices (including PCs, ultramobiles, mobile phones, tablets and printers) for 2015 is forecast to decline 1.2 percent to USD 685 billion, while data centre system spending is projected to reach USD 142 billion in 2015 (up just 0.4 percent from 2014).
Spending in the enterprise software market is on pace to total USD 320 billion in 2015, a 2.3 percent increase from 2014. Growth in spending on telecom services is predicted to shrink by 2.6 percent in 2015 to total USD 1.57 trillion.
TCS stock price
On April 09, 2015, Tata Consultancy Services closed at Rs 2661.15, up Rs 16.80, or 0.64 percent. The 52-week high of the share was Rs 2834.00 and the 52-week low was Rs 2160.00.
The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 104.29 per share as per the quarter ended December 2014. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 25.52. The latest book value of the company is Rs 224.90 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company is 11.83.
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